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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 6pm UK
Daugavas Stadiona, Riga

RFS
2 - 2
Linfield

Friesenbichler (89'), Lipuscek (90+6')
Lipuscek (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fallon (38'), Cooper (71')
Cooper (42'), Newberry (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Rigas Futbola Skola and Linfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rigas Futbola Skola

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Last Game: Hibernians 1-3 RFS
Thursday, August 11 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Linfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Linfield 4-0 Portadown
Sunday, August 14 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rigas Futbola Skola win with a probability of 51.25%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Linfield win was 0-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawLinfield
51.25% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)23.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.03% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.97% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)45.25% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (-0.012 -0.01)67.59% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)17.69% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.67% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)48.33% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.010000000000005 0.01)32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (0.014000000000003 0.01)68.46% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rigas Futbola Skola 51.25%
    Linfield 25.03%
    Draw 23.71%
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.49% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 51.25%
1-1 @ 11.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 25.03%

How you voted: RFS vs Linfield

Rigas Futbola Skola
74.4%
Draw
7.0%
Linfield
18.6%
43