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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 5pm UK
Daugavas Stadiona, Riga

RFS
1 - 1
Hibernians

Ilic (85')
Zjuzins (29'), Deocleciano (36'), Saric (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vella (39')
Thaylor (11'), Vella (29'), Diakite (42'), Soares (49'), Kone (87')
Thaylor (26')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Rigas Futbola Skola and Hibernians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rigas Futbola Skola

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Last Game: RFS 2-1 HJK Helsinki (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, July 12 at 4.30pm in Champions League
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Hibernians

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Last Game: Levadia 1-1 Hibernians
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rigas Futbola Skola win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Hibernians had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Hibernians win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawHibernians
50.1% (0.026000000000003 0.03)24.57% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)25.33% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.48% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (0.071000000000005 0.07)48.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (0.063000000000002 0.06)70.79% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (0.039000000000001 0.04)19.45% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.7% (0.061 0.06)51.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
Hibernians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.4% (0.031999999999996 0.03)33.6% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (0.032 0.03)70.25% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Rigas Futbola Skola 50.1%
    Hibernians 25.33%
    Draw 24.57%
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawHibernians
1-0 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.1%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 25.33%

How you voted: RFS vs Hibernians

Rigas Futbola Skola
73.7%
Draw
15.8%
Hibernians
10.5%
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