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Champions League

Shamrock Rovers
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Tallaght Stadium

Shamrock
3 - 0
Hibernians

Finn (25'), Watts (40'), Gaffney (78')
Gaffney (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Zerafa (38'), Izquier (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Shamrock Rovers and Hibernians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

Last Six:
Last Game: Finn Harps 0-1 Shamrock
Friday, July 1 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

Hibernians

Last Six:
    Last Game: Hibernians 1-4 Riga FC
    Thursday, August 12 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Hibernians had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Hibernians win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.

    Result
    Shamrock RoversDrawHibernians
    45.83% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.64% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
    Both teams to score 65.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    64.93% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)35.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    42.93% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)57.07% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
    Shamrock Rovers Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    84.15% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)15.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    54.95% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)45.04% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
    Hibernians Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    77.73% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)22.27% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    44.28% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)55.72% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
    Score Analysis
        Shamrock Rovers 45.83%
        Hibernians 31.64%
        Draw 22.53%
    Shamrock RoversDrawHibernians
    2-1 @ 8.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
    1-0 @ 6.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
    2-0 @ 5.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    3-0 @ 3.68%
    4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
    4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
    5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    Other @ 2.96%
    Total : 45.83%
    		1-1 @ 9.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    2-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
    0-0 @ 3.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
    3-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    Other @ 0.4%
    Total : 22.53%
    		1-2 @ 7.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
    0-1 @ 5.3% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
    0-2 @ 3.98% (0.0029999999999997 0)
    1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
    0-3 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
    1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
    2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
    Other @ 3.33%
    Total : 31.64%

    How you voted: Shamrock vs Hibernians

    Shamrock Rovers
    83.0%
    Draw
    14.9%
    Hibernians
    2.1%
    47