Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Tallaght Stadium
We said: Shamrock Rovers 2-0 Hibernians
Shamrock Rovers tend to perform well on home turf, and with the hosts over halfway through their domestic campaign, we think that they will be better prepared to claim a first leg win than the Hibernians who have played two friendlies in preparation for Tuesday's contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Hibernians had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Hibernians win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
| Result |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Hibernians |
45.83% ( -0) | 22.53% ( 0.01) | 31.64% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 65.41% ( -0.02) |
| 64.93% ( -0.03) | 35.07% ( 0.03) |
| 42.93% ( -0.03) | 57.07% ( 0.03) |
| 84.15% ( -0.01) | 15.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.95% ( -0.03) | 45.04% ( 0.03) |
| 77.73% ( -0.01) | 22.27% ( 0.01) |
