Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Shamrock Rovers and Shelbourne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Shelbourne
While the momentum is with Shelbourne heading into Friday's fixture, league leaders Shamrock are still the favourites to come out on top in front of their own supporters.
Bradley's men will be fired up to make amends for Monday's defeat and with almost a full squad to choose from, they should have enough quality to edge past the Reds.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.56%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.