Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.