Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.