League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 17

May 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Showgrounds

Sligo
2 - 1
Derry

Buckley (20'), Keogh (90+4')
(79'), (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McGonigle (44')
(74')

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Sligo Rovers and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.

Result
Sligo Rovers	Draw	Derry City
37.04% ( 1.04)	28.29% ( -0.14)	34.67% ( -0.89)

Both teams to score 46.89% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.65% (

0.47)

59.34% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.26% (

0.36)

79.73% (

-0.36)

Sligo Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.24% (

0.89)

30.76% (

-0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.97% (

1.03)

67.03% (

-1.03)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.72% (

-0.34)

32.27% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.22% (

-0.39)

68.77% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Sligo Rovers 37.04%

Derry City 34.66%

Draw 28.28%

Sligo Rovers	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.04%	1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.28%	0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.66%