League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Apr 22, 2022 7.45pm
7
1
HT : 5 0
FT
  • William Patching 13' goal
  • Jamie McGonigle 21' goal
  • Jamie McGonigle 23' goal
  • 29' yellowcard
  • Cameron McJannett 34' goal
  • Cameron Dummigan 45' goal
  • Ronan Boyce 55' goal
  • Jamie McGonigle 60' goal
  • yellowcard Donal Higgins 31'
  • yellowcard 41'
  • goal Alex Nolan 63'

Derry City vs University College Dublin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Apr 18, 2022 7.45pm
Drogheda 1 - 1 Derry
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Jamie McGonigle

University College Dublin

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Apr 18, 2022 5.00pm
UCD 1 - 2 St Patrick's
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Tom Lonergan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 12.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result

Derry City 67.59%
Draw 19.78%
University College Dublin 12.64%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.82%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.8%
Under 2.5 47.2%
Over 3.5 30.57%
Under 3.5 69.43%

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 87.02%
Under 0.5 12.98%
Over 1.5 60.52%
Under 1.5 39.48%

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5 52.65%
Under 0.5 47.35%
Over 1.5 17.25%
Under 1.5 82.75%

Score analysis

Derry City 67.58%
Draw 19.78%
University College Dublin 12.64%
Derry City
2-0 @ 12.81%
1-0 @ 12.54%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 8.72%
3-1 @ 6.52%
4-0 @ 4.45%
4-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.44%
5-0 @ 1.82%
5-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 67.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.38%
0-0 @ 6.15%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 19.78%
University College Dublin
0-1 @ 4.6%
1-2 @ 3.51%
0-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 12.64%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • 44' yellowcard
  • Donal Higgins 88' yellowcard
  • goal William Patching 66'
  • goal Ronan Boyce 78'