Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.