League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 16

May 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

UCD
0 - 3
Shamrock

(80')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Cotter (5'), Mandroiu (17'), Gaffney (41')
Byrne (28'), Hoare (32'), (61')

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Shamrock Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Shamrock 2-0 Shelbourne
Friday, May 27 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

Next Game: Dundalk vs. Shamrock
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Shamrock Rovers	19	21	42
2	Dundalk	18	13	34
3	Derry City	19	15	33

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 70.18%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 10.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.49%) and 0-3 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.

Result
University College Dublin	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
10.78% ( -0.14)	19.04% ( 0)	70.18% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 42.3% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.32% (

-0.36)

48.68% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.21% (

-0.33)

70.79% (

0.33)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.44% (

-0.48)

51.56% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.29% (

-0.32)

85.71% (

0.32)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.32% (

-0.07)

12.68% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.14% (

-0.14)

38.86% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

University College Dublin 10.78%

Shamrock Rovers 70.17%

Draw 19.04%

University College Dublin	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0) 2-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 10.78%	1-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.04%	0-2 @ 13.94% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 9.6% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.36% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 2.05% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 70.17%