St Patrick's2 - 1UCD
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
We said: St Patrick's Athletic 2-0 University College Dublin
With the home advantage and the fact that they are in a far stronger league position, St Patrick's Athletic will head into this game as the favourites here. While the visitors will no doubt provide a fight due to their desperate need for points, this is a game that should be won by the hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 70.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 10.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.47%) and 3-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | University College Dublin |
70.14% ( 0.33) | 19.05% ( -0.1) | 10.81% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 42.39% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
