League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 18

May 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Oriel Park

Dundalk
1 - 0
St Patrick's

Kelly (24')

FT(HT: 1-0)

(86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and St Patrick's Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 St Patrick's
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Next Game: St Patrick's vs. UCD
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Derry City	19	15	33
4	St Patrick's Athletic	19	8	28
5	Sligo Rovers	19	2	25

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 51.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundalk in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dundalk.

Result
Dundalk	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
51.75% ( 0)	25.4%	22.85% ( -0)

Both teams to score 48.39% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.89% (

54.1% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.47% (

75.53% (

-0)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.07% (

20.92% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.34% (

53.65% (

-0)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.19% (

-0)

38.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.46% (

75.54% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Dundalk 51.75%

St Patrick's Athletic 22.85%

Draw 25.4%

Dundalk	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 12.7% 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 4.9% 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.46% Total : 51.75%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.69% 0-2 @ 3.64% 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.49% Total : 22.85%