Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 20
Jun 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Shamrock Rovers

Dundalk
1 - 0
Shamrock

Benson (80')
Leahy (50'), Hoban (66'), Doyle (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Finn (22')
Finn (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Shamrock Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

Last Six:
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 St Patrick's
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Shamrock Rovers

Last Six:
Last Game: Shamrock 2-0 Shelbourne
Friday, May 27 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundalk in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dundalk.

Result
DundalkDrawShamrock Rovers
37.78% (0.029000000000003 0.03)26.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.27% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.02% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)54.21% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)75.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.4% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)29.32% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)65.29% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 37.78%
    Shamrock Rovers 35.26%
    Draw 26.95%
DundalkDrawShamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.68% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 37.78%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10%
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.26%

How you voted: Dundalk vs Shamrock

Dundalk
52.9%
Draw
23.5%
Shamrock Rovers
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 7pm
Shamrock
1-0
Dundalk
Mandroiu (66')

Gartland (70'), Connolly (89')
Gartland (87')
Mar 14, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
0-0
Shamrock

Williams (40'), Boyle (63')

Cotter (23'), Gaffney (80')
Oct 8, 2021 7.45pm
Dundalk
1-0
Shamrock
Murray (32')
Cleary (35'), Stanton (90'), Patching (90+1')

Mandroiu (90+3')
Jul 2, 2021 8pm
Shamrock
3-1
Dundalk
Scales (36'), Gannon (45+2'), Greene (75')
(90+3')
Hoban (13')
McEleney (44')
May 21, 2021 7.45pm
Dundalk
2-1
Shamrock
McEleney (11'), Kelly (59')
Zahibo (40'), Stanton (49'), McMillan (79'), Abibi (90+3')
O'Brien (13')
O'Brien (67')
rhs 2.0


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