League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 17

May 23, 2022 at 8pm UK

Finn Park

Finn Harps
0 - 1
Dundalk

Devers (6'), Boyle (23'), Tourish (26'), (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelly (54')
(13'), (66')

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Finn Harps and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundalk in this match.

Result
Finn Harps	Draw	Dundalk
29.22% ( 2.09)	27.81% ( -0.02)	42.97% ( -2.07)

Both teams to score 46.7% (

1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.15% (

58.84% (

-1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.65% (

0.77)

79.35% (

-0.77)

Finn Harps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.08% (

2.24)

35.91% (

-2.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.31% (

2.23)

72.69% (

-2.22)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.87% (

-0.61)

27.12% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.48% (

-0.8)

62.51% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Finn Harps 29.22%

Dundalk 42.97%

Draw 27.8%

Finn Harps	Draw	Dundalk
1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.97% Total : 29.22%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.8%	0-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.71) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.62) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.97%