Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Finn Harps and Dundalk.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundalk in this match.