Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shamrock Rovers.