League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 19

Jun 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Richmond Park

St Patrick's
1 - 2
Shamrock

Doyle (90+3' pen.)
Redmond (45')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lyons (61'), Greene (71')
Gannon (38'), O'Neil (81'), Cotter (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Shamrock Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: Finn Harps 2-2 St Patrick's
Friday, June 24 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Derry City	21	16	37
4	St Patrick's Athletic	21	9	32
5	Sligo Rovers	21	5	29

Shamrock Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Bohemians
Friday, June 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Shamrock Rovers	21	21	45
2	Dundalk	20	14	38
3	Derry City	21	16	37

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shamrock Rovers.

Result
St Patrick's Athletic	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
31.98% ( 3.58)	27.53% ( 0.26)	40.5% ( -3.83)

Both teams to score 48.6% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.03% (

0.3)

56.98% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.13% (

0.24)

77.88% (

-0.24)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.11% (

2.83)

32.89% (

-2.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.53% (

3.03)

69.47% (

-3.02)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.41% (

-1.89)

27.59% (

1.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.89% (

-2.5)

63.12% (

2.5)

Score Analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 31.98%

Shamrock Rovers 40.49%

Draw 27.53%

St Patrick's Athletic	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.61) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.74) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.98%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.53%	0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.79) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.95) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.61) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.26) Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.49%