League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 21
Jun 24, 2022 at 8pm UK
Finn Park
St Patrick's Athletic

Finn Harps
2 - 2
St Patrick's

Carrillo (88'), Boyle (90+6')
N'Zeyi (16'), Rainey (27'), McWoods (46'), Boyle (66'), Donelon (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
King (6', 64')
Grivosti (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Finn Harps and St Patrick's Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finn Harps

Last Six:
Last Game: Sligo 3-0 Finn Harps
Saturday, June 18 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

St Patrick's Athletic

Last Six:
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-1 UCD
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 43.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 27.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Finn HarpsDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
27.65% (0.458 0.46)28.84% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)43.52% (-0.401 -0.4)
Both teams to score 43.15% (0.405 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.1% (0.369 0.37)62.9% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.61% (0.268 0.27)82.39% (-0.265 -0.27)
Finn Harps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.57% (0.601 0.6)39.43% (-0.59800000000001 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.88% (0.553 0.55)76.12% (-0.551 -0.55)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)28.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)64.61% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Finn Harps 27.64%
    St Patrick's Athletic 43.52%
    Draw 28.83%
Finn HarpsDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 10.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.12% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.9% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.52% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.18% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 27.64%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.34% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.81% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.83%
0-1 @ 14.13% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-2 @ 8.8% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.025 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 43.52%

How you voted: Finn Harps vs St Patrick's

Finn Harps
8.6%
Draw
14.3%
St Patrick's Athletic
77.1%
35
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2022 7.45pm
St Patrick's
2-0
Finn Harps
Doyle (38', 57' pen.)
(84')

Horgan (41'), N'Zeyi (42')
Mar 11, 2022 8pm
Finn Harps
0-2
St Patrick's

N'Zeyi (34'), Connolly (80')
Scott (65'), Doyle (78')
Bermingham (90+1')
Nov 12, 2021 7.45pm
St Patrick's
2-2
Finn Harps
King (14'), Burns (23')
Bone (31'), Lennon (45+3'), Griffin (63')
Boyd (15', 20')
Sadiki (36'), Boyd (45+3'), Coyle (81')
Sadiki (82')
Aug 20, 2021 8pm
Finn Harps
3-1
St Patrick's
Owolabi (12', 42', 53')
Forrester (16' pen.)
Jun 21, 2021 7.45pm
St Patrick's
4-1
Finn Harps
Coughlin (38', 67'), Benson (62'), Lewis (86')
Foley (73')
Sadiki (77')