Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 67.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 12.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.