Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
New Saints1 - 0Linfield
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 3-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Coleraine
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Larne | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Linfield | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Newry City AFC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Linfield |
| 45.46% ( | 23.77% ( | 30.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.47% ( | 41.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.07% ( | 63.92% ( |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( | 18.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.25% ( | 49.74% ( |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.05% ( | 25.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.05% ( | 60.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
The New Saints 45.46%
Linfield 30.77%
Draw 23.77%
| The New Saints | Draw | Linfield |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 3.51% Total : 45.46% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 2-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.77% |
How you voted: New Saints vs Linfield
The New Saints
55.9%Draw
32.2%Linfield
11.9%59
Form Guide


