Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.