New Saints
3 - 1
Caernarfon

McManus (2', 88'), Brobbel (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Dafydd (90+4')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

Last Six:

Last Game: New Saints 3-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	The New Saints	32	60	80
2	Bala Town	32	30	59
3	Connah's Quay Nomads	33	14	53

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 84.53%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 5.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 4-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (1.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Caernarfon Town
84.53%	10.38%	5.09%

Both teams to score 46.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.2%

27.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.49%

48.51%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.39%

4.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.2%

18.8%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.76%

51.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.5%

85.5%

Score Analysis

The New Saints 84.52%

Caernarfon Town 5.09%

Draw 10.38%

The New Saints	Draw	Caernarfon Town
3-0 @ 11.48% 2-0 @ 11.19% 4-0 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 7.68% 2-1 @ 7.48% 1-0 @ 7.27% 4-1 @ 5.91% 5-0 @ 5.44% 5-1 @ 3.64% 6-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 1.98% 6-1 @ 1.87% 7-0 @ 1.23% 5-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.95% Total : 84.52%	1-1 @ 4.86% 2-2 @ 2.5% 0-0 @ 2.36% Other @ 0.65% Total : 10.38%	1-2 @ 1.63% 0-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 1.89% Total : 5.09%