Caernarfon
1 - 0
Aberystwyth

Morris (71' pen.)
Harrison (28')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Davies (31'), Veale (45'), Jenkins (71'), Orford (72'), Thorn (73')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 70.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.12%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
70.96%	18.2%	10.84%

Both teams to score 45.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.09%

44.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.73%

67.27%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.63%

11.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.9%

36.1%

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.96%

49.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.02%

83.98%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 70.95%

Aberystwyth Town 10.84%

Draw 18.2%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 13.18% 1-0 @ 12.12% 3-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 9.39% 3-1 @ 6.81% 4-0 @ 5.19% 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.43% 5-0 @ 2.26% 5-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.41% Total : 70.95%	1-1 @ 8.64% 0-0 @ 5.58% 2-2 @ 3.35% Other @ 0.64% Total : 18.2%	0-1 @ 3.97% 1-2 @ 3.08% 0-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.38% Total : 10.84%