Caernarfon
3 - 3
Aberystwyth

Evans (10'), John Williams (25'), Gosset (68')
Donohue (4'), John Williams (33'), Ojrzynski (58'), Cartwright (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Franklin (28'), Jones (59' pen., 62' pen.)
Davies (78')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
40.83%	25.51%	33.66%

Both teams to score 55.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.61%

48.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.48%

70.52%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.5%

23.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.48%

57.52%

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.52%

27.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.02%

62.97%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 40.83%

Aberystwyth Town 33.66%

Draw 25.5%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 9.35% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.83%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 8.34% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.66%