Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
5 - 0
Druids

Harrison (26'), Mello (45+2', 52', 74' pen.), Poole (50')
Curran (12')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Torres (56'), Mooney (60')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Druids.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Flint Town
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League

Druids

Last Six:
Last Game: Druids 1-0 Barry
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 94.57%. A draw had a probability of 4.4% and a win for Druids had a probability of 1.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (14.24%) and 2-0 (12.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.01%), while for a Druids win it was 0-1 (0.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawDruids
94.57%4.38%1.05%
Both teams to score 26.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.3%22.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.09%41.92%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.69%2.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.95%11.05%
Druids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
27.02%72.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
4.03%95.97%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 94.56%
    Druids 1.05%
    Draw 4.38%
Caernarfon TownDrawDruids
3-0 @ 15.1%
4-0 @ 14.24%
2-0 @ 12.01%
5-0 @ 10.74%
6-0 @ 6.75%
1-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 4.76%
4-1 @ 4.49%
2-1 @ 3.78%
7-0 @ 3.64%
5-1 @ 3.38%
6-1 @ 2.13%
8-0 @ 1.72%
7-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 94.56%
1-1 @ 2.01%
0-0 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 4.38%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 1.05%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
Druids
1-3
Caernarfon
Mooney (72')
Smith (41'), Flint (80')
Donohue (42'), Edwards (47'), Beaumont (58')
Hughes (28'), Bailey (85')
Sep 10, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
3-0
Druids
Thomas (60'), Hughes (77'), Dafydd (90')
Edwards (30'), Simpson (90+1')

Buckley (2'), Lockett (76'), Edge (80')
Buckley (75')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Druids
1-2
Caernarfon
Simpson (71')
Edge (21'), Mooney (45+2'), Ruberto (75'), Flint (81'), Cartwright (90+2')
Jones (32'), Hayes (40')
Williams (14'), Jones (52'), (74'), Williams (75')
Oct 9, 2020 7.45pm
Caernarfon
1-2
Druids
Mendes (64')
Thomas (20'), (42'), Anderson (48'), (60'), (90+6')
Cartwright (4'), Darlington (18')
(45+3'), (45+3'), (45+3'), Simpson (57'), (90+3')
Oct 18, 2019 7.45pm
Druids
3-1
Caernarfon
Mudimu (52' pen.), Davies (63', 69')
Ofori (43'), Ruberto (53'), Ashton (61'), Pritchard (76')
Breese (30')
Crowther (42'), Edwards (51'), Edwards (55'), Smith (85')
rhs 2.0


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