Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Druids1 - 2Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Druids and Caernarfon Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 49%. A win for Druids had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Druids win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Druids | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 27.59% | 23.41% | 49% |
| Both teams to score 59.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.22% | 41.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.82% | 64.18% |
| Druids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% | 28.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.09% | 63.9% |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.77% | 17.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.47% | 47.53% |
| Score Analysis |
Druids 27.59%
Caernarfon Town 49%
Draw 23.4%
| Druids | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 2-1 @ 6.84% 1-0 @ 6.15% 2-0 @ 3.89% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 1.64% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.59% | 1-1 @ 10.81% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 9.51% 0-1 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 5.58% 0-3 @ 4.41% 2-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 2.45% 0-4 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.98% Total : 49% |


