Caernarfon
0 - 4
New Saints

Beaumont (26')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McManus (28'), Brobbel (56'), Cieslewicz (80'), Williams (86')
Marriott (61')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 9.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	The New Saints
9.5%	15.2%	75.3%

Both teams to score 50.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.27%

34.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.31%

56.69%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.17%

44.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.2%

80.8%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.26%

7.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.46%

27.54%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 9.5%

The New Saints 75.3%

Draw 15.2%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	The New Saints
2-1 @ 2.86% 1-0 @ 2.78% 2-0 @ 1.12% 3-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.76% Total : 9.5%	1-1 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 3.66% 0-0 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.95% Total : 15.2%	0-2 @ 11.36% 0-3 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 9.12% 0-1 @ 8.88% 1-3 @ 7.78% 0-4 @ 6.2% 1-4 @ 4.98% 0-5 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 3.12% 1-5 @ 2.55% 2-4 @ 2% 0-6 @ 1.35% 1-6 @ 1.09% 2-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 3% Total : 75.3%

Caernarfon0 - 4New Saints

Data Analysis

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Caernarfon
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New Saints