Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 0
Druids

Thomas (60'), Hughes (77'), Dafydd (90')
Edwards (30'), Simpson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buckley (2'), Lockett (76'), Edge (80')
Buckley (75')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Druids.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Druids had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Druids win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawDruids
67.32%16.61%16.07%
Both teams to score 67.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.04%23.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.45%43.55%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.29%6.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.17%24.83%
Druids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42%27.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9%63.11%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 67.32%
    Druids 16.07%
    Draw 16.61%
Caernarfon TownDrawDruids
2-1 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 6.76%
3-0 @ 6.09%
4-1 @ 5.3%
3-2 @ 5.05%
1-0 @ 5%
4-0 @ 4.11%
4-2 @ 3.41%
5-1 @ 2.86%
5-0 @ 2.22%
5-2 @ 1.84%
4-3 @ 1.46%
6-1 @ 1.29%
6-0 @ 1%
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 67.32%
1-1 @ 6.44%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 2.17%
0-0 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.61%
1-2 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-1 @ 2.38%
1-3 @ 1.78%
0-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 16.07%