Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon0 - 2Newtown
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
26.12% | 22.64% | 51.24% |
Both teams to score 60.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.61% | 39.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.27% | 61.73% |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.97% | 28.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.31% | 63.69% |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.47% | 15.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.54% | 44.47% |
Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town 26.12%
Newtown AFC 51.24%
Draw 22.64%
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
2-1 @ 6.56% 1-0 @ 5.54% 2-0 @ 3.52% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.64% Total : 26.12% | 1-1 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-1 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 7.55% 1-3 @ 5.96% 0-3 @ 4.69% 2-3 @ 3.79% 1-4 @ 2.78% 0-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.76% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.79% Total : 51.24% |
Head to Head
May 29, 2021 12pm
Caernarfon
3-5
Newtown
Kenny (18'), Thomas (59', 73')
Kenny (9'), Cleworth (76'), (84')
Kenny (9'), Cleworth (76'), (84')
Rushton (39' pen.), Mwandwe (44'), Davies (76', 80', 82')
Mills-Evans (45+5'), Williams (90')
Mills-Evans (45+5'), Williams (90')
Dec 18, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Caernarfon
1-1
Newtown
Bradley (34')
Williams (13'), Mendes (59'), Hayes (77'), Bradley (90+4')
Williams (13'), Mendes (59'), Hayes (77'), Bradley (90+4')
Breese (84')
O'Neill (31')
O'Neill (31')
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
2-3
Caernarfon
Mendes (45+3'), Bradley (59'), Edwards (79')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
P-P
Caernarfon
Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-14 14:59:00
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 40 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 17 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 36 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 30 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 28 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 28 |
6 | Bala TownBala Town | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
7 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 45 | -31 | 10 |
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