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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 1
Caernarfon

Disney (50')
Curran (32'), Owens (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (28')
Hughes (45+3'), Gosset (71')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 9.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
73.93%16.1%9.97%
Both teams to score 49.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.3%37.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.06%59.94%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.25%8.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.95%30.05%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.05%45.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.32%81.68%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 73.93%
    Caernarfon Town 9.97%
    Draw 16.1%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
2-0 @ 11.93%
1-0 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 9.28%
3-1 @ 7.54%
4-0 @ 5.91%
4-1 @ 4.59%
3-2 @ 2.93%
5-0 @ 2.88%
5-1 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.79%
6-0 @ 1.17%
6-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 73.93%
1-1 @ 7.61%
0-0 @ 4.02%
2-2 @ 3.61%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 16.1%
0-1 @ 3.12%
1-2 @ 2.96%
0-2 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 9.97%

Head to Head
May 8, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Connah's Quay
4-0
Caernarfon
Insall (10'), Williams (69'), Morris (77', 90+2')
Wilde (37')

Hayes (77'), Mendes (83')
Brass (67')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Caernarfon
1-6
Connah's Quay
Bickerstaff (24')
Edwards (31')
Poole (16'), Wilde (32'), Jones (54' og.), Davies (73', 90'), Horan (79')
Nov 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
1-2
Connah's Quay
Edwards (55')
Hayes (33'), (86'), (90+8')
Bradley (90+4')
Wilde (75'), Morris (90+2' pen.)
(76'), (85')
Brass (90+9'), Roberts (90+9')
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
3-1
Caernarfon
Farquharson (46', 79'), Wilde (52')
Curran (65')
Jones (19')
Williams (63')
Mar 28, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU188462722528
5Barry Town UnitedBarry178452729-228
6Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon177462425-125
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1852112335-1217
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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