Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Craig Curran 32'
John Disney 50'
Kris Owens 70'

Darren Thomas 28'
Rob Hughes 45'+3'
Danny Gosset 71'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

D
W
W
W
L
L

Welsh Premier League

D
W
W
W
W
W

Last game

Aug 28, 2021 5.15pm

Pen-y-Bont 1 - 1 Connah's Quay

Goals scored

42

Top scorer

Callum Morris

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

L
L
W
L
W
L

Welsh Premier League

L
L
W
L
W
L

Last game

Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm

Caernarfon 0 - 2 Newtown

Goals scored

49

Top scorer

Mike Hayes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 9.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 73.93%

Draw 16.1%

Caernarfon Town 9.97%

Both Teams to Score:

49.32%

Goals

Over 2.5 62.3%

Under 2.5 37.69%

Over 3.5 40.06%

Under 3.5 59.94%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 91.25%

Under 0.5 8.74%

Over 1.5 69.95%

Under 1.5 30.05%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 54.05%

Under 0.5 45.95%

Over 1.5 18.32%

Under 1.5 81.68%

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 73.93%

Draw 16.1%

Caernarfon Town 9.97%

Connah's Quay Nomads

2-0 @ 11.93%

1-0 @ 9.79%

3-0 @ 9.69%

2-1 @ 9.28%

3-1 @ 7.54%

4-0 @ 5.91%

4-1 @ 4.59%

3-2 @ 2.93%

5-0 @ 2.88%

5-1 @ 2.24%

4-2 @ 1.79%

6-0 @ 1.17%

Other @ 4.21%

Total : 73.93%

Draw

1-1 @ 7.61%

0-0 @ 4.02%

2-2 @ 3.61%

Other @ 0.86%

Total : 16.1%

Caernarfon Town

0-1 @ 3.12%

1-2 @ 2.96%

0-2 @ 1.22%

Other @ 2.67%

Total : 9.97%

Head to Head

May 8, 2021 5.15pm

4

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Jamie Insall 10'
Michael Wilde 37'
Aron Williams 69'
Callum Morris 77'
Callum Morris 90'+2'

Lewis Brass 67'
Mike Hayes 77'
Paulo Mendes 83'

Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm

1

6

HT : 1 2

FT

Jake Bickerstaff 24'
Noah Edwards 31'

Declan Poole 16'
Michael Wilde 32'
Charles Jones 54' (OG)
Daniel Davies 73'
George Horan 79'
Daniel Davies 90'

Nov 13, 2020 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Mike Hayes 33'
Gareth Edwards 55'
86'
Sion Bradley 90'+4'
90'+8'

Michael Wilde 75'
76'
85'
Callum Morris 90'+2'
Lewis Brass 90'+9'
Callum Roberts 90'+9'

Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm

3

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Priestley Farquharson 46'
Michael Wilde 52'
Craig Curran 65'
Priestley Farquharson 79'

Charles Jones 19'
Ryan Williams 63'

Mar 28, 2020 2.30pm

Feb 14, 2020 7.45pm

4

0

HT : 2 0

FT

George Horan 2'
George Horan 23'
59'
Craig Curran 76'
Michael Bakare 84'

Nathan Craig 8'
38'

Form Data

Pen-y-Bont 1 - 1 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 1 - 0 Aberystwyth

Druids 0 - 2 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 4 - 2 FC Prishtina

FC Prishtina 4 - 1 Connah's Quay

Alashkert 1 - 0 Connah's Quay

Caernarfon 0 - 2 Newtown

New Saints 5 - 3 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 0 Haverfordwest

Caernarfon 3 - 5 Newtown

Barry 1 - 3 Caernarfon

Barry 3 - 2 Caernarfon