May 8, 2021 5.15pm

4

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Jamie Insall 10'
Michael Wilde 37'
Aron Williams 69'
Callum Morris 77'
Callum Morris 90'+2'

Lewis Brass 67'
Mike Hayes 77'
Paulo Mendes 83'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

W
D
L
W
W
W

Welsh Premier League

W
D
L
W
W
W

Last game

May 4, 2021 7.45pm

Barry 1 - 2 Connah's Quay

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
D
D
L
L
L

Welsh Premier League

W
D
D
L
L
L

Last game

May 4, 2021 7.45pm

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Bala Town

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 61.51%

Draw 21.65%

Caernarfon Town 16.84%

Both Teams to Score:

50.24%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.22%

Under 2.5 46.79%

Over 3.5 30.96%

Under 3.5 69.05%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 85.31%

Under 0.5 14.69%

Over 1.5 57.13%

Under 1.5 42.87%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 58.89%

Under 0.5 41.11%

Over 1.5 22.35%

Under 1.5 77.66%

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 61.5%

Draw 21.64%

Caernarfon Town 16.84%

Connah's Quay Nomads

1-0 @ 11.58%

2-0 @ 11.1%

2-1 @ 9.87%

3-0 @ 7.1%

3-1 @ 6.31%

4-0 @ 3.41%

4-1 @ 3.03%

3-2 @ 2.81%

4-2 @ 1.35%

5-0 @ 1.31%

5-1 @ 1.16%

Other @ 2.48%

Total : 61.5%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.29%

0-0 @ 6.04%

2-2 @ 4.39%

Other @ 0.93%

Total : 21.64%

Caernarfon Town

0-1 @ 5.37%

1-2 @ 4.58%

0-2 @ 2.39%

1-3 @ 1.36%

2-3 @ 1.3%

Other @ 1.85%

Total : 16.84%

Head to Head

Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm

1

6

HT : 1 2

FT

Jake Bickerstaff 24'
Noah Edwards 31'

Declan Poole 16'
Michael Wilde 32'
Charles Jones 54' (OG)
Daniel Davies 73'
George Horan 79'
Daniel Davies 90'

Nov 13, 2020 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Mike Hayes 33'
Gareth Edwards 55'
86'
Sion Bradley 90'+4'
90'+8'

Michael Wilde 75'
76'
85'
Callum Morris 90'+2'
Lewis Brass 90'+9'
Callum Roberts 90'+9'

Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm

3

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Priestley Farquharson 46'
Michael Wilde 52'
Craig Curran 65'
Priestley Farquharson 79'

Charles Jones 19'
Ryan Williams 63'

Mar 28, 2020 2.30pm

Feb 14, 2020 7.45pm

4

0

HT : 2 0

FT

George Horan 2'
George Horan 23'
59'
Craig Curran 76'
Michael Bakare 84'

Nathan Craig 8'
38'

Oct 15, 2019 7.45pm

4

2

HT : 1 1

FT Deeside College Stadium (Cei Conna / Connah's Quay, Flintshire)

Michael Wilde 7'
Declan Poole 52'
Jamie Insall 56'
Jamie Insall 66'

Danny Brookwell 8'
Sion Bradley 57'

Form Data

Barry 1 - 2 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 0 - 0 New Saints

Bala Town 2 - 1 Connah's Quay

New Saints 1 - 4 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 2 - 0 Bala Town

Connah's Quay 1 - 0 Barry

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Bala Town

Caernarfon 2 - 2 Pen-y-Bont

New Saints 0 - 0 Caernarfon

Pen-y-Bont 2 - 0 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 0 - 2 New Saints

Bala Town 5 - 2 Caernarfon