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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
May 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Bala Town logo

Caernarfon
3 - 0
Bala Town

Cleworth (11', 45'), Bradley (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Stephens (52'), Smith (69'), Smith (79')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Bala Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 52.42%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
24.8%22.79%52.42%
Both teams to score 58.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.72%41.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33%63.67%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95%30.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82%66.18%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19%15.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03%44.97%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 24.8%
    Bala Town 52.42%
    Draw 22.78%
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
2-1 @ 6.33%
1-0 @ 5.71%
2-0 @ 3.43%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 24.8%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 5.84%
0-0 @ 4.75%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-1 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 8.08%
1-3 @ 5.98%
0-3 @ 4.97%
2-3 @ 3.59%
1-4 @ 2.76%
0-4 @ 2.29%
2-4 @ 1.66%
1-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 52.42%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 2
Bala Town
5-2
Caernarfon
Venables (20', 89'), Spittle (57'), Evans (69', 90+3')
Evans (14'), Venables (35'), Spittle (45+2'), A (45+2')
Bickerstaff (33'), Hayes (45+2' pen.)
Edwards (36'), M (56')
Mar 20, 2021 2.45pm
Gameweek 18
Bala Town
1-2
Caernarfon
Evans (16')
Kay (45+1'), Jones (53')
Hayes (47'), Mendes (70')
Williams (52'), Bickerstaff (82'), Cleworth (90+2')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
1-1
Bala Town
Edwards (20')
(7'), Williams (57')
Venables (45+1' pen.)
Kay (16'), Pryce (79'), Ramsey (90')
Mar 20, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Bala Town
P-P
Caernarfon
Feb 7, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
1-2
Bala Town
Edwards (33')
(15'), (23'), (87')
Venables (67', 81')
Leslie (28'), (37'), (48'), (89'), (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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