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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Apr 20, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside Stadium
Bala Town logo

Connah's Quay
2 - 0
Bala Town

Poole (86'), Horan (89')
Hunt (11'), Disney (56'), Morris (68'), Edwards (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Correia (27'), (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Bala Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
50.14%24.73%25.13%
Both teams to score 52.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51%49.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47%71.53%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25%19.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.21%51.79%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8%34.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1%70.9%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 50.13%
    Bala Town 25.13%
    Draw 24.72%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 8.89%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 50.13%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.25%
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 3.89%
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 25.13%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Bala Town
1-3
Connah's Quay
Correia (1')
Spittle (34'), Smith (65'), Correia (76')
Spittle (90')
Horan (4'), Morris (67' pen.), Curran (85')
Poole (27'), Holmes (70'), Harrison (82')
Sep 12, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 1
Connah's Quay
1-1
Bala Town

(21')
Peate (22')
(5'), (44'), (70'), (89')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Bala Town
2-2
Connah's Quay
Venables (7'), Smith (78')
(40'), (74')
Robles (88')
Wilde (3'), Insall (39')
Horan (63'), (78')
Dec 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Connah's Quay
2-1
Bala Town
Bakare (69', 77')
Owen (36'), Farquharson (49'), Morris (65'), Brass (94')
Spittle (5')
Leslie (53'), Robles (55'), Spittle (93')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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