Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
May 1, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Bickerstaff (20'), Bradley (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Owen (34'), Harling (70')
Davies (78'), Evans (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawPen-y-Bont
32.57%25.66%41.77%
Both teams to score 54.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.68%49.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.63%71.37%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37%28.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.56%64.44%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57%23.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.56%57.43%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 32.57%
    Pen-y-Bont 41.77%
    Draw 25.65%
Caernarfon TownDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 8.39%
2-1 @ 7.62%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.57%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 6.71%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 9.73%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-2 @ 7.06%
1-3 @ 4.27%
0-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 41.77%