Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Apr 24, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
2 - 0
Caernarfon

Georgievsky (34'), Wood (90+3')
Ahmun (23'), Evans (61'), Griffiths (86'), Davies (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Malandjou (26'), John Williams (28'), Williams (68'), Kenny (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawCaernarfon Town
48.96%23.07%27.97%
Both teams to score 60.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.07%39.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.71%62.29%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45%16.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.68%46.31%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01%26.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66%62.34%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 48.96%
    Caernarfon Town 27.97%
    Draw 23.07%
Pen-y-BontDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.47%
1-0 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 2.55%
4-0 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.67%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 48.96%
1-1 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 4.47%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-1 @ 5.85%
0-2 @ 3.83%
1-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.67%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.97%

rhs 2.0


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