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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
May 15, 2021 at 12pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
3 - 2
Caernarfon

Cotterill (57' pen.), Kavanagh (62'), Cotterill (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (45', 90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
44.26%24.21%31.53%
Both teams to score 59.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.78%43.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.38%65.62%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29%19.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29%51.71%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7%26.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.58%61.42%
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 44.26%
    Caernarfon Town 31.53%
    Draw 24.21%
Barry Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.13%
1-0 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 6.84%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 44.26%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.21%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-1 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.62%
1-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 31.53%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Caernarfon
0-1
Barry

Cleworth (5'), Kenny (27'), Thomas (54'), Edwards (61'), Jones (82')
Hutson (90+2')
McDonald (53'), McLaggon (77')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Caernarfon
2-0
Barry
Kenny (81'), Jones (86')
Thomas (17'), Mendes (62'), Edwards (68'), Kenny (90+2')

Cooper (29')
Cooper (53')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Barry
3-1
Caernarfon
McLaggon (38', 62'), McDonald (55')
Cummings (10'), Green (45'), Cotterill (45+1')
Hayes (66')
(33')
Apr 11, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
P-P
Barry
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Barry
1-1
Caernarfon
Touray (63')
Thomas (65')
(69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU188462722528
5Barry Town UnitedBarry178452729-228
6Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon177462425-125
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1852112335-1217
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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