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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
May 15, 2021 at 12pm UK
KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
0 - 2
Connah's Quay


Stevens (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Horan (6'), Edwards (75')
Harrison (36'), Insall (39'), Edwards (76'), Owen (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
20.14%22.91%56.96%
Both teams to score 52.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83%47.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6%69.4%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.41%37.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63%74.37%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67%16.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08%45.92%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 20.14%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 56.94%
    Draw 22.91%
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 6.01%
2-1 @ 5.33%
2-0 @ 2.94%
3-1 @ 1.74%
3-2 @ 1.57%
3-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.14%
1-1 @ 10.88%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.91%
0-1 @ 11.12%
0-2 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-3 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 5.96%
2-3 @ 2.92%
0-4 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 2.7%
2-4 @ 1.32%
0-5 @ 1%
1-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 56.94%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Connah's Quay
0-2
Pen-y-Bont

Holmes (21'), Owens (67')
Owen (21' pen.), Georgievsky (79')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Pen-y-Bont
0-0
Connah's Quay
Levi Borge (52')
Curran (42')
Sep 20, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Owens (31')
(45'), (68'), (69')

(52'), (79')
Nov 30, 2019 2.30pm
Sep 29, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Connah's Quay
3-1
Pen-y-Bont
Insall (11', 64'), Morris (46' pen.)
Farquharson (65')
Owen (74')
Griffiths (45'), Hutson (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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