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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
5 - 0
Druids

Mwandwe (11', 16'), Davies (30'), Mills-Evans (76'), Williams (87')
Roberts (57')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Buckley (23'), Pinto Vieira (36')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Druids.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 75.92%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Druids had a probability of 9.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Druids win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawDruids
75.92%14.99%9.09%
Both teams to score 49.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.92%35.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.92%57.08%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.31%7.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.59%27.41%
Druids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.07%45.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.34%81.66%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 75.92%
    Druids 9.09%
    Draw 14.99%
Newtown AFCDrawDruids
2-0 @ 11.62%
3-0 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.06%
2-1 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 7.74%
4-0 @ 6.38%
4-1 @ 4.96%
5-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 3.01%
5-1 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 1.93%
6-0 @ 1.4%
6-1 @ 1.09%
5-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 75.92%
1-1 @ 7.05%
0-0 @ 3.53%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 14.99%
0-1 @ 2.75%
1-2 @ 2.74%
0-2 @ 1.07%
2-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 9.09%