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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Apr 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 0
Cardiff MU

Mendes (31'), Harrison (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Craven (43'), Roscrow (68')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Flint Town
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, May 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 16.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
60.22%23.61%16.17%
Both teams to score 43.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51%55.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33%76.67%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84%18.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.86%49.14%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.82%47.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.38%82.62%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 60.21%
    Cardiff MU 16.17%
    Draw 23.61%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 14.61%
2-0 @ 12.46%
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 5.33%
4-0 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 2%
5-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 60.21%
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 8.57%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 23.61%
0-1 @ 6.44%
1-2 @ 4.12%
0-2 @ 2.42%
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 16.17%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-0
Caernarfon

Price (84')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-1
Caernarfon

Craven (15'), Roscrow (53')
Thomas (23')
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Gosset (28'), Hayes (54')
Bailey (23'), Thomas (64'), Cartwright (71'), Hayes (90+2'), Hayes (90+3')

Evans (45')
Mar 27, 2021 2.45pm
Caernarfon
3-2
Cardiff MU
Kenny (12'), Hayes (55' pen.), Bickerstaff (81')
Edwards (28'), Edwards (34'), Williams (81'), Williams (90+4')
Edwards (66')
Owen (61'), Evans (90+4' pen.)
Lewis (60')
Oct 3, 2020 5.15pm
Cardiff MU
0-3
Caernarfon
Bradley (34' pen.), Thomas (83'), Jones (88')
(72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints101000117189992
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1033470432759
3Bala TownBala Town103523831751
4Newtown AFCNewtown103254946344
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon102445270-1841
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU1012763102-3936
Relegation Round
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont106314637943
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest104333940-143
3Barry Town UnitedBarry101633654-1832
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth103342757-3027
5Colwyn Bay103253466-3225
6Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd103343672-3622
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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