Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.