Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Oct 9, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue

Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Caernarfon


Rimmer (6'), (39'), (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (17')
French (19'), (31'), (32')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
51.43%22.37%26.2%
Both teams to score 61.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62%38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.74%60.26%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.03%14.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.6%43.4%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76%27.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33%62.66%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 51.43%
    Caernarfon Town 26.2%
    Draw 22.37%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.56%
1-0 @ 7.74%
2-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 6.05%
3-0 @ 4.66%
3-2 @ 3.94%
4-1 @ 2.88%
4-0 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 51.43%
1-1 @ 10.07%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 4.08%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 6.55%
0-1 @ 5.3%
0-2 @ 3.45%
1-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 1.5%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 26.2%