Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2021 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue
Bala Town logo

Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Bala Town


Veale (57'), Phillips (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Darlington (27' og.)
Smith (34')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Bala Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawBala Town
26.89%23.21%49.9%
Both teams to score 59.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.59%41.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.19%63.81%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47%28.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69%64.31%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.24%16.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.31%46.69%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 26.89%
    Bala Town 49.9%
    Draw 23.21%
Aberystwyth TownDrawBala Town
2-1 @ 6.72%
1-0 @ 6%
2-0 @ 3.76%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.51%
3-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 26.89%
1-1 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 4.78%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-1 @ 8.54%
0-2 @ 7.63%
1-3 @ 5.7%
0-3 @ 4.54%
2-3 @ 3.57%
1-4 @ 2.54%
0-4 @ 2.03%
2-4 @ 1.6%
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 49.9%