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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 2
Aberystwyth

Roberts (50')
Mills-Evans (76'), Arsan (76'), Roberts (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veale (36'), Evans (86')
Rimmer (5'), Phillips (41'), Evans (76'), Jones (77'), Davies (86')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 54.52%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
54.52%21.7%23.78%
Both teams to score 61.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.76%37.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.56%59.44%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.29%13.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.05%40.95%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33%28.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51%64.49%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 54.52%
    Aberystwyth Town 23.78%
    Draw 21.7%
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 7.81%
2-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 6.42%
3-0 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 4.01%
4-1 @ 3.19%
4-0 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 1.99%
5-1 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 54.52%
1-1 @ 9.76%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 3.93%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.7%
1-2 @ 6.1%
0-1 @ 4.91%
0-2 @ 3.07%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 23.78%