Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 15, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 4
New Saints

Williams (41')
Davies (30'), Mills-Evans (45+2'), Walker (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clark (25'), McManus (49'), Hudson (58'), Williams (74')
Williams (48'), Marriott (68')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and The New Saints.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 58.05%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 21.05% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 0-1 (8.01%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
21.05%20.91%58.05%
Both teams to score 60.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.15%36.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.98%59.02%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.21%30.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95%67.05%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.47%12.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.45%38.55%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 21.05%
    The New Saints 58.05%
    Draw 20.91%
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 5.56%
1-0 @ 4.54%
2-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.27%
3-1 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 21.05%
1-1 @ 9.44%
2-2 @ 5.78%
0-0 @ 3.86%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.91%
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-2 @ 8.32%
0-1 @ 8.01%
1-3 @ 6.79%
0-3 @ 5.76%
2-3 @ 4%
1-4 @ 3.53%
0-4 @ 2.99%
2-4 @ 2.08%
1-5 @ 1.47%
0-5 @ 1.24%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 58.05%