Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 1
Caernarfon

Wood (35')
Evans (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jones (67')
Edwards (13'), Donohue (33'), Hughes (62')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawCaernarfon Town
43.64%24.31%32.05%
Both teams to score 59.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54%43.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.15%65.85%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93%20.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.7%52.3%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91%26.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86%61.14%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 43.64%
    Caernarfon Town 32.05%
    Draw 24.3%
Pen-y-BontDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.07%
1-0 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 6.75%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 43.64%
1-1 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-1 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.05%