Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Apr 23, 2022 at 12.45pm UK
Park Avenue

Aberystwyth
1 - 1
Connah's Quay

Allen (76')
Thorn (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Curran (39')
Eardley (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
23.33%23.84%52.83%
Both teams to score 53.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6%47.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.39%69.61%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37%34.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65%71.34%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1%17.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.31%48.68%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 23.33%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 52.83%
    Draw 23.83%
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 6.57%
2-1 @ 6%
2-0 @ 3.49%
3-1 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 1.82%
3-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 23.33%
1-1 @ 11.3%
0-0 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-2 @ 9.17%
1-3 @ 5.58%
0-3 @ 5.26%
2-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 2.4%
0-4 @ 2.26%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 52.83%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Connah's Quay

Owen (45'), Veale (52'), Franklin (57'), Rimmer (87')
Mendes (31')
Mendes (52'), Byrne (81'), Horan (87'), Poole (90')
Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
1-0
Aberystwyth
Curran (30')

Thorn (39'), Franklin (55'), Rimmer (85')
Dec 4, 2020 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-3
Connah's Quay
Hewitt (54' pen.)
Evans (90')
Jones (60')
Davies (22'), Wilde (81', 83')
Roberts (26'), Curran (51'), Morris (53'), Edwards (90')
Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Aberystwyth
Disney (9' pen.), Edwards (27')
Holmes (10')
Oct 25, 2019 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Jones (90' pen.)
Insall (38')
Holmes (48'), Disney (63'), Insall (75'), Roberts (83'), Owen (89'), Brass (90')