MX23RW : Tuesday, March 19 10:54:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue
Aberystwyth
1 - 3
Connah's Quay
Hewitt (54' pen.)
Evans (90')
Jones (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davies (22'), Wilde (81', 83')
Roberts (26'), Curran (51'), Morris (53'), Edwards (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 69.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 12.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 2-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
12.68%17.64%69.68%
Both teams to score 53.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.65%37.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.43%59.57%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.02%40.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.47%77.53%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.36%9.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.8%32.2%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 12.68%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 69.68%
    Draw 17.64%
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 3.68%
1-0 @ 3.53%
2-0 @ 1.57%
3-2 @ 1.28%
3-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 12.68%
1-1 @ 8.25%
2-2 @ 4.3%
0-0 @ 3.95%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.64%
0-2 @ 10.81%
1-2 @ 9.64%
0-1 @ 9.24%
0-3 @ 8.43%
1-3 @ 7.52%
0-4 @ 4.93%
1-4 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 3.35%
0-5 @ 2.31%
1-5 @ 2.06%
2-4 @ 1.96%
2-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 69.68%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
2-0
Aberystwyth
Disney (9' pen.), Edwards (27')
Holmes (10')
Oct 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Jones (90' pen.)
Insall (38')
Holmes (48'), Disney (63'), Insall (75'), Roberts (83'), Owen (89'), Brass (90')
Sep 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Connah's Quay
4-1
Aberystwyth
Morris (12'), Wignall (25'), Bakare (46'), Poole (85')
Bakare (41'), Poole (72'), Brass (78')
Horan (59')
Phillips (86')
Jan 4, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Aberystwyth
1-6
Connah's Quay
Ahmadi (38')
Jenkins (69')
Morris (14' pen.), Owens (32'), Wilde (65'), Bakare (79'), Parker (90'), Hughes (90')
Aug 24, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
2-1
Aberystwyth
Bakare (37'), Wilde (44')
Hughes (41')
Baynes (90')
Jones (40'), Walker (60'), Williams (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints660099168380
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay621367412654
3Bala TownBala Town632134241048
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon62314854-640
5Newtown AFCNewtown61054044-436
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU60243251-1936
Relegation Round
1Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest61323337-434
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont63213937233
3Barry Town UnitedBarry60513350-1728
4Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd53203664-2821
5Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth51222151-3020
6Colwyn Bay61233061-3119
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813

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