Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue

Aberystwyth
1 - 3
Connah's Quay

Hewitt (54' pen.)
Evans (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davies (22'), Wilde (81', 83')
Roberts (26'), Curran (51'), Morris (53'), Edwards (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 69.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 12.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 2-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
12.68%17.64%69.68%
Both teams to score 53.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.65%37.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.43%59.57%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.02%40.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.47%77.53%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.36%9.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.8%32.2%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 12.68%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 69.68%
    Draw 17.64%
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 3.68%
1-0 @ 3.53%
2-0 @ 1.57%
3-2 @ 1.28%
3-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 12.68%
1-1 @ 8.25%
2-2 @ 4.3%
0-0 @ 3.95%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.64%
0-2 @ 10.81%
1-2 @ 9.64%
0-1 @ 9.24%
0-3 @ 8.43%
1-3 @ 7.52%
0-4 @ 4.93%
1-4 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 3.35%
0-5 @ 2.31%
1-5 @ 2.06%
2-4 @ 1.96%
2-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 69.68%

rhs 2.0


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