Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4

Mar 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Maes Tegid

Bala Town
2 - 0
Connah's Quay

Ebbe (45+2'), Shannon (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Bala Town 11-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	The New Saints	32	60	80
2	Bala Town	32	30	59
3	Connah's Quay Nomads	33	14	53

Connah's Quay Nomads

Last Six:

Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Bala Town	32	30	59
3	Connah's Quay Nomads	33	14	53
4	Newtown AFC	32	15	51

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala Town	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
58.09%	21.74%	20.16%

Both teams to score 56.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.98%

42.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.57%

64.43%

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.8%

14.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.09%

41.91%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.39%

34.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67%

71.33%

Score Analysis

Bala Town 58.09%

Connah's Quay Nomads 20.16%

Draw 21.74%

Bala Town	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 9.36% 3-1 @ 6.47% 3-0 @ 6.09% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 3.16% 4-0 @ 2.97% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.02% Total : 58.09%	1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 5.27% 0-0 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.74%	1-2 @ 5.4% 0-1 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.03% Total : 20.16%