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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Mar 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
2 - 0
Connah's Quay

Ebbe (45+2'), Shannon (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Bala Town 11-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
58.09%21.74%20.16%
Both teams to score 56.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.98%42.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.57%64.43%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8%14.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.09%41.91%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39%34.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.67%71.33%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 58.09%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 20.16%
    Draw 21.74%
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 9.36%
3-1 @ 6.47%
3-0 @ 6.09%
3-2 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 3.16%
4-0 @ 2.97%
4-2 @ 1.67%
5-1 @ 1.23%
5-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 58.09%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 5.27%
0-0 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.74%
1-2 @ 5.4%
0-1 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 20.16%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Bala Town
0-4
Connah's Quay

Ramsey (45'), (63'), Shannon (65')
Venables (62'), Smith (75')
Morris (3' pen., 59'), Curran (24'), Harrington (49')
Eardley (11')
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
0-1
Bala Town

Moore (82'), Edwards (90+4')
Horan (27')
Edwards (29')
Apr 28, 2021 7.45pm
Bala Town
2-1
Connah's Quay
Horan (18' og.), Jones (72')
Shannon (32'), Smith (54'), Ramsey (78'), Kay (88'), Smith (90+3')
Peate (78')
Morris (80' pen.)
Poole (75')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Bala Town
Poole (86'), Horan (89')
Hunt (11'), Disney (56'), Morris (68'), Edwards (73')

Correia (27'), (82')
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Bala Town
1-3
Connah's Quay
Correia (1')
Spittle (34'), Smith (65'), Correia (76')
Spittle (90')
Horan (4'), Morris (67' pen.), Curran (85')
Poole (27'), Holmes (70'), Harrison (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints101000117189992
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1033470432759
3Bala TownBala Town103523831751
4Newtown AFCNewtown103254946344
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon102445270-1841
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU1012763102-3936
Relegation Round
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont106314637943
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest104333940-143
3Barry Town UnitedBarry101633654-1832
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth103342757-3027
5Colwyn Bay103253466-3225
6Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd103343672-3622
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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