Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Mar 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
0 - 3
Connah's Quay


MacDonald (21'), (51'), Reynolds (86'), D. Wood (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Thomas (15'), Hayes (37', 85')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

Last Six:
Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Pen-y-Bont (3-1 pen.)
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
60.89%21.26%17.87%
Both teams to score 53.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.67%43.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.27%65.74%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24%13.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.94%41.06%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.17%37.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39%74.61%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 60.87%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 17.87%
    Draw 21.25%
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 6.58%
4-0 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-2 @ 1.59%
5-0 @ 1.33%
5-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 60.87%
1-1 @ 10.03%
0-0 @ 5.21%
2-2 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.25%
0-1 @ 5.06%
1-2 @ 4.88%
0-2 @ 2.46%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 17.87%

Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
0-0
Pen-y-Bont

Curran (31'), Morris (90')
Aug 28, 2021 5.15pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Connah's Quay
Harling (21')
Borge (78')
Harrison (35')
Curran (69'), Owens (72')
May 15, 2021 12pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Connah's Quay

Stevens (45+1')
Horan (6'), Edwards (75')
Harrison (36'), Insall (39'), Edwards (76'), Owen (90')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
0-2
Pen-y-Bont

Holmes (21'), Owens (67')
Owen (21' pen.), Georgievsky (79')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-0
Connah's Quay

Levi Borge (52')

Curran (42')