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Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 

Bala Town
1 - 3
Connah's Quay

Correia (1')
Spittle (34'), Smith (65'), Correia (76')
Spittle (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Horan (4'), Morris (67' pen.), Curran (85')
Poole (27'), Holmes (70'), Harrison (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
34.11%25.12%40.77%
Both teams to score 56.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.44%46.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17%68.83%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.67%26.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54%61.46%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28%22.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61%56.4%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 34.11%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 40.77%
    Draw 25.12%
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-1 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 5.33%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 34.11%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 5.98%
2-2 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 8.87%
1-2 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 6.57%
1-3 @ 4.33%
0-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 40.77%

Head to Head
Sep 12, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 1
Connah's Quay
1-1
Bala Town

(21')
Peate (22')
(5'), (44'), (70'), (89')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Connah's Quay
P-P
Bala Town
Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Bala Town
2-2
Connah's Quay
Venables (7'), Smith (78')
(40'), (74')
Robles (88')
Wilde (3'), Insall (39')
Horan (63'), (78')
Dec 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Connah's Quay
2-1
Bala Town
Bakare (69', 77')
Owen (36'), Farquharson (49'), Morris (65'), Brass (94')
Spittle (5')
Leslie (53'), Robles (55'), Spittle (93')
Aug 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Bala Town
0-1
Connah's Quay

Smith (81'), Venables (81')
Wilde (69')
Wilde (16'), Farquharson (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU188462722528
5Barry Town UnitedBarry178452729-228
6Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon177462425-125
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1852112335-1217
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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