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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 

Bala Town
1 - 3
Connah's Quay

Correia (1')
Spittle (34'), Smith (65'), Correia (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Horan (4'), Morris (67' pen.), Curran (85')
Poole (27'), Holmes (70'), Harrison (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
34.11%25.12%40.77%
Both teams to score 56.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.44%46.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17%68.83%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.67%26.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54%61.46%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28%22.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61%56.4%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 34.11%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 40.77%
    Draw 25.12%
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-1 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 5.33%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 34.11%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 5.98%
2-2 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 8.87%
1-2 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 6.57%
1-3 @ 4.33%
0-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 40.77%