Connah's Quay2 - 0Barry
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Bala Town | 32 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 33 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | Newtown AFC | 32 | 15 | 51 |
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Haverfordwest County | 32 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Barry Town United | 32 | -16 | 31 |
| 12 | Druids | 32 | -87 | 9 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 13.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 66.28% | 19.92% | 13.8% |
| Both teams to score 48.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% | 45.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% | 67.54% |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.25% | 12.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.99% | 39.01% |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.73% | 44.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.65% | 80.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 2-0 @ 11.97% 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 8.22% 3-1 @ 6.7% 4-0 @ 4.23% 4-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.73% 5-0 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.03% Total : 66.27% | 1-1 @ 9.47% 0-0 @ 5.65% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.92% | 0-1 @ 4.6% 1-2 @ 3.86% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.08% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.34% Total : 13.8% |
Press (51'), Cotterill (61'), Green (61')
Wilde (62'), Danns (62'), Disney (64')
Jarvis (33'), Green (43')


