Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Mar 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Newtown logo

Connah's Quay
0 - 4
Newtown


Edwards (23'), Gosset (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rushton (34'), Williams (48', 51'), Breese (90+4')
Mwandwe (9')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

Last Six:
Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Newtown
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 55.57%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 22.39% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
22.39%22.04%55.57%
Both teams to score 58.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54%40.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.16%62.84%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37%31.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96%68.04%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53%14.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.56%42.45%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 22.39%
    Newtown AFC 55.57%
    Draw 22.04%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 5.86%
1-0 @ 5.27%
2-0 @ 3.03%
3-1 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 2.17%
3-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 22.39%
1-1 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 9.84%
0-1 @ 8.85%
0-2 @ 8.55%
1-3 @ 6.34%
0-3 @ 5.51%
2-3 @ 3.65%
1-4 @ 3.07%
0-4 @ 2.66%
2-4 @ 1.76%
1-5 @ 1.19%
0-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 55.57%

How you voted: Connah's Quay vs Newtown

Connah's Quay Nomads
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Newtown AFC
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Newtown
0-2
Connah's Quay

Sears (20'), Williams (35'), Walker (44'), Roberts (83'), Hughes (89')
Sears (37')
Morris (25' pen.), Curran (69')
Curran (22'), Poole (63')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-2
Newtown

Eardley (43'), Morris (61'), Holmes (90')
Sutton (25'), Holmes (45+1' og.)
Williams (56'), Mwandwe (76')
Apr 2, 2021 5pm
Newtown
1-5
Connah's Quay
Breese (3')
Mills-Evans (69')
Curran (20'), Danns (64'), Morris (76' pen.), Wilde (85'), Insall (90')
Wilde (55'), Morris (67')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
2-1
Newtown
Horan (28'), Wilde (59')
(19')
Insall (24')
Fletcher (15')
(61')
Apr 25, 2020 2.30pm
Newtown
P-P
Connah's Quay