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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Apr 2, 2021 at 5pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 5
Connah's Quay

Breese (3')
Mills-Evans (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Curran (20'), Danns (64'), Morris (76' pen.), Wilde (85'), Insall (90')
Wilde (55'), Morris (67')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
18.9%21.61%59.48%
Both teams to score 54.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.7%43.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.31%65.69%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34%36.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55%73.44%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82%14.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.12%41.88%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 18.9%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 59.48%
    Draw 21.61%
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 5.22%
2-1 @ 5.11%
2-0 @ 2.62%
3-1 @ 1.71%
3-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 18.9%
1-1 @ 10.19%
0-0 @ 5.2%
2-2 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.61%
0-1 @ 10.15%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-2 @ 9.92%
1-3 @ 6.48%
0-3 @ 6.46%
2-3 @ 3.25%
1-4 @ 3.17%
0-4 @ 3.15%
2-4 @ 1.59%
1-5 @ 1.24%
0-5 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 59.48%