Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
